GGOALVIO

Israel · Liga Leumit · 10/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Ra'anana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hapoel Ra'anana 1-2 Kafr Qasim

Original prediction

Hapoel Ra'anana

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8448.8%51.3%2.5 pts
Draw3.5025.6%23.8%-1.7 pts
Away3.5025.6%24.9%-0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Ra'anana

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Hapoel Ra'anana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Ra'ananaWLWWL

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kafr QasimWWLDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel Ra'ananaKafr Qasim
85.7Attack47.6
57.1Defence66.7
71.4Form47.6
70.5Power53.8
1.85xG1.12
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