GGOALVIO

Israel · Liga Leumit · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Ra'anana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hapoel Ra'anana 6-1 Hapoel Kfar Saba

Original prediction

Hapoel Ra'anana

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2539.6%48.8%9.2 pts
Draw3.2427.5%24.9%-2.6 pts
Away2.7132.9%26.3%-6.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Ra'anana

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Hapoel Ra'anana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Ra'ananaLWWWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Kfar SabaWLLDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel Ra'ananaHapoel Kfar Saba
77.8Attack33.3
44.4Defence33.3
66.7Form33.3
64.7Power35.7
2.19xG1.14
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