Hapoel Ra'ananavs
Bnei Yehuda
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bnei Yehuda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ra'anana 1-1 Bnei Yehuda
Original prediction
Bnei Yehuda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.31 | 20.8% | 23.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.1% | 21.6% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 55.0% | 54.8% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Bnei Yehuda
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Bnei Yehuda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00