Hapoel Petah Tikvavs
Maccabi Netanya
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 10/10/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Netanya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-1 Maccabi Netanya
Original prediction
Maccabi Netanya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.12 | 22.3% | 28.9% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.1% | 27.0% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 53.6% | 44.1% | -9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Netanya
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Maccabi Netanya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20