GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/21/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Petah Tikva are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Maccabi Bnei Raina are 0W-3D-1L in their last 4 (DLDD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Bnei Raina hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (34.2 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.2%

Model confidence

34.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Petah TikvaLDLDL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Maccabi Bnei RainaDLDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.75/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 1/4
Hapoel Petah TikvaMaccabi Bnei Raina
25.0Attack26.7
41.7Defence60.0
25.0Form20.0
34.2Power38.7
1.19xG1.15
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