GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 7/22/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Petah Tikva are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hapoel Tel Aviv are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Tel Aviv hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (34.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Hapoel Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Petah TikvaLWDWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Tel AvivWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Tel Aviv
25.0Attack66.7
41.7Defence33.3
25.0Form33.3
34.2Power45.3
1.33xG1.56
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