Hapoel Petah Tikvavs
Hapoel Katamon
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Petah Tikva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0 Hapoel Katamon
Original prediction
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.6% | 38.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.1% | 28.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 34.3% | 33.3% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Hapoel Petah Tikva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60