Hapoel Petah Tikvavs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/13/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Beer Sheva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva
Original prediction
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.58 | 16.4% | 35.1% | 18.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 21.2% | 25.4% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.47 | 62.4% | 39.5% | -22.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Hapoel Beer Sheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60