GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 9/2/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bnei Sakhnin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Hapoel Petah Tikva are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bnei Sakhnin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bnei Sakhnin hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Bnei Sakhnin holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bnei Sakhnin

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Bnei Sakhnin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Petah TikvaWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bnei SakhninDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hapoel Petah TikvaBnei Sakhnin
25.3Attack36.1
48.5Defence57.4
24.2Form41.7
35.6Power47.5
0.70xG1.06
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