GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/12/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ashdod · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Petah Tikva are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DLDL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Ashdod are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashdod hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (34.2 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Ashdod holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ashdod

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Petah TikvaDLDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
AshdodWLDWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel Petah TikvaAshdod
25.0Attack20.0
41.7Defence80.0
25.0Form53.3
34.2Power54.1
0.97xG1.21
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