Hapoel Marmorekvs
Shimshon Tel Aviv
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shimshon Tel Aviv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hapoel Marmorek 0-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 Shimshon Tel Aviv
Original prediction
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.05 | 22.0% | 27.2% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 27.7% | 29.5% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 50.3% | 43.3% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Projected Score
Hapoel Marmorek 0–0 Shimshon Tel Aviv
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Shimshon Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00