Hapoel Marmorekvs
Maccabi Yavne
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Yavne · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Marmorek 1-1 Maccabi Yavne
Original prediction
Maccabi Yavne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 30.1% | 32.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.2% | 28.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 43.7% | 39.5% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Yavne
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Maccabi Yavne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00