Hapoel Marmorekvs
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/18/2026, 8:50:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Marmorek · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
Original prediction
Hapoel Marmorek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.70 | 24.0% | 46.2% | 22.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.1% | 25.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 49.9% | 28.7% | -21.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Marmorek
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Hapoel Marmorek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60