Hapoel Marmorekvs
Hapoel Hadera
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/4/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Hadera · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Marmorek 1-0 Hapoel Hadera
Original prediction
Hapoel Hadera
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.24 | 27.6% | 30.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.9% | 28.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 46.5% | 40.9% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Hadera
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Hapoel Hadera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00