Hapoel Mahane Yehudavs
FC Jerusalem
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/19/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Jerusalem · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-1 FC Jerusalem, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 4-2 FC Jerusalem
Original prediction
FC Jerusalem
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.34 | 20.5% | 22.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.1% | 26.5% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 56.3% | 51.2% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Projected Score
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0–1 FC Jerusalem
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
FC Jerusalem
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
FC Jerusalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80