Hapoel Mahane Yehudavs
Dimona
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dimona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2-3 Dimona
Original prediction
Dimona
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 23.3% | 24.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.7% | 26.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 51.1% | 49.8% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Dimona
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Dimona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Hapoel Mahane YehudaLLDD
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/1.25
BTTS 2/4O2.5 0/4
DimonaLWWLW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Mahane YehudaDimona
0.0Attack59.6
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form60.6
15.3Power62.9
0.87xG1.88