Hapoel Kfar Shalemvs
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Kfar Shalem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 3-1 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Original prediction
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 49.6% | 57.7% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.4% | 20.8% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.0% | 21.5% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60