Hapoel Kfar Shalemvs
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Kfar Shalem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 3-3 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Original prediction
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.8% | 44.8% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.0% | 25.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.2% | 29.5% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20