Hapoel Kfar Shalemvs
Kiryat Yam SC
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiryat Yam SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 3-2 Kiryat Yam SC
Original prediction
Kiryat Yam SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.9% | 36.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.7% | 27.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.4% | 36.6% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Kiryat Yam SC
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Kiryat Yam SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40