Hapoel Kfar Shalemvs
Hapoel Ra'anana
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Ra'anana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 2-1 Hapoel Ra'anana
Original prediction
Hapoel Ra'anana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 32.8% | 29.7% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.5% | 20.7% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.7% | 49.6% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Ra'anana
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Hapoel Ra'anana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20