Hapoel Kfar Shalemvs
Hapoel Acre
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Kfar Shalem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 4-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 4-0 Hapoel Acre
Original prediction
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 64.8% | 78.8% | 14.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.31 | 20.8% | 12.6% | -8.2 pts |
| Away | 6.26 | 14.3% | 8.5% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.4–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Probability
78.8%
Model confidence
78.8%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/1.80