Hapoel Kfar Sabavs
Hapoel Afula
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 10/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Afula · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Kfar Saba 2-0 Hapoel Afula
Original prediction
Hapoel Afula
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.5% | 21.1% | -16.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.2% | 18.3% | -8.9 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.3% | 60.6% | 25.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
25.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Afula
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Hapoel Afula has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20