Hapoel Kfar Sabavs
Bnei Yehuda
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bnei Yehuda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Kfar Saba 1-2 Bnei Yehuda
Original prediction
Bnei Yehuda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.92 | 18.0% | 15.3% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.1% | 18.6% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.48 | 59.8% | 66.1% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Bnei Yehuda
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
Bnei Yehuda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80