GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/9/2025, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Netanya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Katamon are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Maccabi Netanya are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Netanya hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 70.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Maccabi Netanya holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Netanya

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Maccabi Netanya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel KatamonLWWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Maccabi NetanyaWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel KatamonMaccabi Netanya
58.3Attack75.0
50.0Defence58.3
58.3Form75.0
57.5Power70.9
1.55xG1.72
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