GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 9/3/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Haifa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Katamon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Maccabi Haifa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Haifa hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Maccabi Haifa holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Haifa

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Maccabi Haifa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel KatamonDWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Maccabi HaifaLDWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel KatamonMaccabi Haifa
38.4Attack69.4
60.6Defence74.1
43.4Form70.4
49.5Power70.4
0.61xG1.60
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