Hapoel Katamonvs
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/5/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Kiryat Shmona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Katamon 4-2 Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Original prediction
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.7% | 31.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 29.1% | 27.7% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 35.3% | 40.9% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00