Hapoel Katamonvs
Hapoel Tel Aviv
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 10/24/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Katamon 0-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv
Original prediction
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.35 | 14.4% | 18.7% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.8% | 20.8% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 64.8% | 60.6% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Hapoel Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00