GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 7/26/2025, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Katamon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Katamon are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hapoel Petah Tikva are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Katamon hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 34.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Katamon holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Katamon

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Hapoel Katamon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel KatamonWWWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hapoel Petah TikvaLLWDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Petah Tikva
58.3Attack25.0
50.0Defence41.7
58.3Form25.0
57.5Power34.2
1.98xG1.05
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