GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/10/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Katamon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Katamon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hapoel Hadera are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Katamon hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Katamon holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Katamon

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Hapoel Katamon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel KatamonLLWLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hapoel HaderaWLLWD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel KatamonHapoel Hadera
58.3Attack40.0
50.0Defence46.7
58.3Form33.3
57.5Power43.0
1.87xG1.18
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