GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/19/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Katamon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Katamon are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWWD), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Beitar Jerusalem are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Katamon hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Katamon holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Katamon

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Hapoel Katamon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel KatamonLWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 2.25/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Beitar JerusalemLDW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Hapoel KatamonBeitar Jerusalem
58.3Attack66.7
50.0Defence33.3
58.3Form33.3
57.5Power45.3
1.86xG1.36
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