GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/5/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Katamon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Katamon are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ashdod are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Katamon hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Katamon holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Katamon

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Hapoel Katamon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel KatamonWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
AshdodDWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 2.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Hapoel KatamonAshdod
58.3Attack20.0
50.0Defence80.0
58.3Form53.3
57.5Power54.1
1.35xG1.06
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