Hapoel Ironi Karmielvs
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3-0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Original prediction
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.1% | 44.1% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.0% | 28.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 25.9% | 27.3% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80