Hapoel Ironi Arrabavs
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/23/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1-5 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
Original prediction
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 26.9% | 29.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.7% | 26.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.4% | 44.0% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00