Hapoel Ironi Arrabavs
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/19/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hapoel Ironi Arraba 0-1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ironi Arraba 0-4 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
Original prediction
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.32 | 10.8% | 20.4% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.4% | 26.1% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 68.8% | 53.5% | -15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.3 pts
Projected Score
Hapoel Ironi Arraba 0–1 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60