GGOALVIO

Israel · Liga Alef · 10/9/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 0-0 Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt

Original prediction

Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8531.5%28.7%-2.8 pts
Draw3.3626.8%26.1%-0.7 pts
Away2.1641.7%45.2%3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–28%

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Ironi ArrabaDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattWLDLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel Ironi ArrabaHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
16.7Attack83.3
16.7Defence16.7
8.3Form50.0
18.5Power51.0
1.22xG1.95
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