Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jattvs
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/1/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt 2-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Original prediction
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.8% | 34.6% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.4% | 26.7% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.8% | 38.7% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.25/2.75
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20