Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jattvs
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/19/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt 1-1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Original prediction
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 23.1% | 27.4% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.1% | 23.7% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 54.8% | 48.9% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60