Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jattvs
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/23/2026, 11:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Bnei Musmus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt 0-0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt 4-2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Original prediction
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 29.7% | 33.8% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.0% | 28.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.3% | 37.2% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt 0–0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40