Hapoel Herzliyavs
Tzeirey Tira
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/23/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Herzliya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Tzeirey Tira, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Tzeirey Tira
Original prediction
Hapoel Herzliya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 47.6% | 46.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.6% | 28.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 24.8% | 25.1% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Projected Score
Hapoel Herzliya 1–0 Tzeirey Tira
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Herzliya
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Hapoel Herzliya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20