Hapoel Herzliyavs
Nordia Jerusalem
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/9/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Herzliya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Nordia Jerusalem, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Herzliya 3-1 Nordia Jerusalem
Original prediction
Hapoel Herzliya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 66.0% | 54.3% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.2% | 25.7% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 6.97 | 12.8% | 20.1% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Projected Score
Hapoel Herzliya 1–0 Nordia Jerusalem
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Herzliya
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Hapoel Herzliya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60