Hapoel Herzliyavs
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/8/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Herzliya · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Original prediction
Hapoel Herzliya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.5% | 45.1% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.7% | 28.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.09 | 21.9% | 26.9% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Herzliya
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Hapoel Herzliya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60