Hapoel Herzliyavs
Hapoel Azor
COMPLETEDIsrael · State Cup · 10/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Herzliya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Herzliya 0-1 Hapoel Azor
Original prediction
Hapoel Herzliya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.5% | 40.4% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.6% | 27.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 27.9% | 31.9% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Herzliya
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Hapoel Herzliya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80