Hapoel Herzliyavs
Hapoel Azor
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/22/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Herzliya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Hapoel Azor, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Herzliya 1-5 Hapoel Azor
Original prediction
Hapoel Herzliya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.5% | 46.2% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.6% | 29.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 31.9% | 24.6% | -7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Projected Score
Hapoel Herzliya 1–0 Hapoel Azor
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Herzliya
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Hapoel Herzliya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80