Hapoel Haifavs
Maccabi Petah Tikva
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Haifa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Haifa 2-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva
Original prediction
Hapoel Haifa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.1% | 48.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.5% | 24.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.4% | 27.0% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Haifa
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Hapoel Haifa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20