GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 9/2/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Haifa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Haifa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Maccabi Petah Tikva are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Haifa hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Hapoel Haifa holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Haifa

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Hapoel Haifa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel HaifaWDWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Maccabi Petah TikvaDLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Hapoel HaifaMaccabi Petah Tikva
44.4Attack44.4
56.5Defence42.4
54.6Form40.4
53.6Power43.4
1.70xG1.03
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