Hapoel Haifavs
Hapoel Tel Aviv
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 8/30/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Haifa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Haifa 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
Original prediction
Hapoel Haifa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.54 | 20.3% | 47.3% | 27.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.7% | 24.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 55.0% | 28.6% | -26.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
27.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Haifa
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Hapoel Haifa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80