GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Haifa · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hapoel Haifa 0-2 Hapoel Ramat Gan

Original prediction

Hapoel Haifa

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7153.8%61.1%7.3 pts
Draw3.9923.0%21.2%-1.8 pts
Away3.9623.2%17.7%-5.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–013%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.1–110%

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Haifa

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

61.1%

Hapoel Haifa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel HaifaWLWDD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Hapoel Ramat GanLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel HaifaHapoel Ramat Gan
50.0Attack22.2
61.1Defence27.8
50.0Form16.7
55.9Power25.0
2.19xG0.77
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