Hapoel Haifavs
Bnei Sakhnin
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/14/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Haifa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Haifa 3-1 Bnei Sakhnin
Original prediction
Hapoel Haifa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.6% | 43.6% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.3% | 28.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 23.1% | 28.2% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Haifa
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Hapoel Haifa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80