GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 9/17/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Haifa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Hapoel Haifa are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ashdod are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Haifa hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Hapoel Haifa holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Haifa

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Hapoel Haifa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel HaifaDWDWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AshdodLLDWW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel HaifaAshdod
44.4Attack29.3
56.5Defence54.5
54.6Form37.4
53.6Power42.5
1.35xG0.68
View match centre →