Hapoel Haderavs
Shimshon Tel Aviv
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shimshon Tel Aviv · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hapoel Hadera 0-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Hadera 2-2 Shimshon Tel Aviv
Original prediction
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.1% | 29.3% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.1% | 29.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 34.9% | 41.4% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Projected Score
Hapoel Hadera 0–1 Shimshon Tel Aviv
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Shimshon Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80